tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Martha's Vineyard → Boston via Philadelphia: arrives on time 44%

  1. 10:41 MVY → 12:08 PHL
    AA 4602 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 27m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:20 PHL → 16:47 BOS
    AA 3116 · American · 1h 27m · 47% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip6h 06mMVY 10:41 to BOS 16:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.