tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Charlotte via New York: arrives on time 25%

  1. 15:04 ATL → 17:27 LGA
    AA 4605 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 24m · 61% on time, 9.9% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:15 LGA → 20:31 CLT
    AA 1942 · American · 2h 18m · 67% on time, 14.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (9.9% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (14.1% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 29mATL 15:04 to CLT 20:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.