tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Asheville via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 09:00 LGA → 11:36 ATL
    AA 4606 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 36m · 80% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:12 ATL → 16:13 AVL
    DL 2037 · Delta · 1h 00m · 83% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 12mLGA 09:00 to AVL 16:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.