tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Jacksonville via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 09:00 LGA → 11:36 ATL
    AA 4606 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 36m · 80% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:57 ATL → 15:07 JAX
    DL 2990 · Delta · 1h 11m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 08mLGA 09:00 to JAX 15:07, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.