tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Phoenix via Philadelphia: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:45 IND → 08:41 PHL
    AA 4613 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 56m · 95% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:45 PHL → 11:49 PHX
    AA 2820 · American · 5h 04m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Indianapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 04mIND 06:45 to PHX 11:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.