tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Nashville via Philadelphia: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:45 IND → 08:41 PHL
    AA 4613 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 56m · 95% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:35 PHL → 10:51 BNA
    AA 3221 · American · 2h 16m · 86% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Indianapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 06mIND 06:45 to BNA 10:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.