tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charleston → Boston via New York: arrives on time 37%

  1. 12:10 CHS → 14:19 LGA
    AA 4614 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 10m · 79% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:09 LGA → 16:35 BOS
    AA 4370 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 25m · 58% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 24mCHS 12:10 to BOS 16:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.