Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Tulsa → Chicago via New York: arrives on time 30%
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14:04 TUL → 18:19 LGAAA 4619 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 15m · 64% on time, 8.1% cancelled
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1h 06m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:25 LGA → 21:35 ORDAA 3318 · American · 3h 10m · 59% on time, 15.4% cancelled
Total trip 7h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (15.4% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 31mTUL 14:04 to ORD 21:35, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.