tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Atlanta via New York: arrives on time 36%

  1. 14:04 TUL → 18:19 LGA
    AA 4619 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 15m · 64% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:35 LGA → 22:15 ATL
    AA 4599 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 38m · 64% on time, 11.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (11.5% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 09mTUL 14:04 to ATL 22:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.