tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Dallas-Fort Worth via Fayetteville/Springdale/: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:56 LGA → 09:26 XNA
    AA 4620 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 30m · 93% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 28m layover in Fayetteville/Springdale/ (XNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:54 XNA → 12:20 DFW
    AA 3838 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 26m · 87% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 28m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 24mLGA 06:56 to DFW 12:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.