tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Washington via New York: arrives on time 68%

  1. 09:57 XNA → 14:03 LGA
    AA 4620 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 06m · 90% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 LGA → 18:58 DCA
    AA 4773 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 38m · 76% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 152 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 01mXNA 09:57 to DCA 18:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.