tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:51 SDF → 07:38 ORD
    AA 4622 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 47m · 86% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 ORD → 12:32 DTW
    AA 3498 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 34m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 43mSDF 06:51 to DTW 12:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.