tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Dulles via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:51 SDF → 07:38 ORD
    AA 4622 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 47m · 86% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 29m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:07 ORD → 14:12 IAD
    UA 1869 · United · 2h 05m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 29m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 21mSDF 06:51 to IAD 14:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.