tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:51 SDF → 07:38 ORD
    AA 4622 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 47m · 86% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:37 ORD → 12:29 BNA
    UA 2414 · United · 1h 52m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 38mSDF 06:51 to BNA 12:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.