tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Las Vegas via Chicago: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:51 SDF → 07:38 ORD
    AA 4622 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 47m · 86% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:00 ORD → 13:05 LAS
    UA 2440 · United · 4h 05m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip9h 14mSDF 06:51 to LAS 13:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.