tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Baltimore via Chicago: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:51 SDF → 07:38 ORD
    AA 4622 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 47m · 86% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:51 ORD → 13:57 BWI
    UA 2653 · United · 2h 06m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 103 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 06mSDF 06:51 to BWI 13:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.