tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 92%

  1. 06:51 SDF → 07:38 ORD
    AA 4622 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 47m · 86% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:54 ORD → 12:45 DEN
    UA 581 · United · 2h 51m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 106 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip7h 54mSDF 06:51 to DEN 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.