tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:51 SDF → 07:38 ORD
    AA 4622 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 47m · 86% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:26 ORD → 13:50 CLT
    UA 3450 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 24m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 59mSDF 06:51 to CLT 13:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.