tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Miami via New York: arrives on time 59%

  1. 09:24 ATL → 11:49 LGA
    AA 4628 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 25m · 91% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 LGA → 16:14 MIA
    AA 1643 · American · 3h 14m · 67% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 50mATL 09:24 to MIA 16:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.