tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Asheville via New York: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:24 ATL → 11:49 LGA
    AA 4628 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 25m · 91% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:14 LGA → 15:25 AVL
    AA 4342 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 11m · 80% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 01mATL 09:24 to AVL 15:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.