tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Knoxville via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:09 LGA → 08:43 ATL
    AA 4628 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 34m · 95% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 34m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:17 ATL → 13:16 TYS
    DL 4724 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 02m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 34m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 10mLGA 06:09 to TYS 13:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.