tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Dallas via Atlanta: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:09 LGA → 08:43 ATL
    AA 4628 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 34m · 95% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:15 ATL → 11:24 DAL
    DL 1115 · Delta · 2h 09m · 92% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 15mLGA 06:09 to DAL 11:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.