tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Sarasota/Bradenton via Atlanta: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:09 LGA → 08:43 ATL
    AA 4628 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 34m · 95% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:40 ATL → 14:14 SRQ
    DL 2438 · Delta · 1h 34m · 89% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 05mLGA 06:09 to SRQ 14:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.