tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Memphis via Atlanta: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:09 LGA → 08:43 ATL
    AA 4628 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 34m · 95% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 32m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:15 ATL → 12:35 MEM
    DL 2778 · Delta · 1h 20m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 122 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 32m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 26mLGA 06:09 to MEM 12:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.