tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Jacksonville via Atlanta: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:09 LGA → 08:43 ATL
    AA 4628 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 34m · 95% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:48 ATL → 12:00 JAX
    DL 2923 · Delta · 1h 12m · 87% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 51mLGA 06:09 to JAX 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.