tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Panama City Beach via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:09 LGA → 08:43 ATL
    AA 4628 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 34m · 95% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:41 ATL → 10:50 ECP
    DL 3045 · Delta · 1h 09m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Panama City Beach is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 58m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 41mLGA 06:09 to ECP 10:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.