tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Dallas-Fort Worth via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:09 LGA → 08:43 ATL
    AA 4628 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 34m · 95% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:43 ATL → 11:13 DFW
    AA 3390 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 30m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 04mLGA 06:09 to DFW 11:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.