Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → San Francisco via New York: arrives on time 31%

  1. 19:20 DCA → 20:38 JFK
    AA 4629 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 71% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:26 JFK → 00:59 SFO +1 day
    AA 177 · American · 6h 33m · 66% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 39mDCA 19:20 to SFO 00:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.