tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Cleveland via New York: arrives on time 37%

  1. 17:23 DTW → 19:18 LGA
    AA 4630 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 56m · 65% on time, 14.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:29 LGA → 22:23 CLE
    AA 4722 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 54m · 64% on time, 9.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (14.5% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 00mDTW 17:23 to CLE 22:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.