tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Greenville via New York: arrives on time 41%

  1. 17:23 DTW → 19:18 LGA
    AA 4630 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 56m · 65% on time, 14.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:27 LGA → 22:38 GSP
    AA 4787 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 12m · 71% on time, 9.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (14.5% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (9.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 16mDTW 17:23 to GSP 22:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.