tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Raleigh/Durham via New York: arrives on time 68%

  1. 07:11 IND → 09:30 JFK
    AA 4631 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 19m · 92% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 29m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:59 JFK → 14:57 RDU
    AA 4658 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 58m · 74% on time, 5.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 164 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 29m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (5.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 46mIND 07:11 to RDU 14:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.