tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bangor → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:01 BGR → 09:20 ORD
    AA 4633 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 19m · 96% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:10 ORD → 16:30 EWR
    AA 1936 · American · 2h 20m · 65% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip9h 29mBGR 07:01 to EWR 16:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.