tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Harrisburg → Dallas-Fort Worth via Chicago: arrives on time 76%

  1. 05:53 MDT → 07:14 ORD
    AA 4651 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 21m · 99% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 ORD → 12:13 DFW
    AA 3052 · American · 2h 33m · 82% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Harrisburg). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 20mMDT 05:53 to DFW 12:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.