tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Bangor via Washington: arrives on time 45%

  1. 10:47 LGA → 12:17 DCA
    AA 4654 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 85% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:39 DCA → 15:40 BGR
    AA 5568 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 01m · 58% on time, 13.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (13.6% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 53mLGA 10:47 to BGR 15:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.