tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Little Rock → Nashville via New York: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:00 LIT → 11:00 LGA
    AA 4656 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 59m · 86% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:00 LGA → 13:29 BNA
    AA 2302 · American · 2h 33m · 76% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 33mLIT 07:00 to BNA 13:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.