tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Chicago via New York: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:00 CVG → 08:11 JFK
    AA 4657 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 11m · 91% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:11 JFK → 12:05 ORD
    AA 4365 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 54m · 89% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 05mCVG 06:00 to ORD 12:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.