tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Indianapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 83%

  1. 05:44 BWI → 07:12 ORD
    AA 4659 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 28m · 91% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 ORD → 11:40 IND
    AA 2898 · American · 1h 10m · 90% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 56mBWI 05:44 to IND 11:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.