tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:44 BWI → 07:12 ORD
    AA 4659 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 28m · 91% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:29 ORD → 10:11 BNA
    AA 3439 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 43m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 28mBWI 05:44 to BNA 10:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.