tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Memphis via Chicago: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:44 BWI → 07:12 ORD
    AA 4659 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 28m · 91% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:06 ORD → 10:00 MEM
    AA 3683 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 54m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 16mBWI 05:44 to MEM 10:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.