tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Knoxville via Chicago: arrives on time 68%

  1. 05:44 BWI → 07:12 ORD
    AA 4659 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 28m · 91% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:05 ORD → 10:58 TYS
    AA 6445 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 50m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 11mBWI 05:44 to TYS 10:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.