tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → New Orleans via Chicago: arrives on time 90%

  1. 05:44 BWI → 07:12 ORD
    AA 4659 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 28m · 91% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:25 ORD → 12:55 MSY
    UA 1850 · United · 2h 30m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 103 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip8h 11mBWI 05:44 to MSY 12:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.