tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Richmond via Chicago: arrives on time 83%

  1. 05:44 BWI → 07:12 ORD
    AA 4659 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 28m · 91% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:10 ORD → 11:30 RIC
    AA 4500 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 20m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip5h 46mBWI 05:44 to RIC 11:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.