tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Philadelphia via Indianapolis: arrives on time 57%

  1. 06:30 DCA → 08:26 IND
    AA 4664 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 56m · 96% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Indianapolis (IND) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:58 IND → 12:56 PHL
    AA 5209 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 58m · 64% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 26mDCA 06:30 to PHL 12:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.