tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Indianapolis via New York: arrives on time 27%

  1. 16:36 RDU → 18:18 LGA
    AA 4666 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 42m · 48% on time, 8.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:23 LGA → 21:46 IND
    AA 4427 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 23m · 66% on time, 6.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (8.7% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (6.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 10mRDU 16:36 to IND 21:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.