Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Louisville → Baltimore via Chicago: arrives on time 37%
-
19:13 SDF → 20:14 ORDAA 4668 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 02m · 79% on time, 10.0% cancelled
-
46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
-
21:00 ORD → 23:59 BWIAA 3866 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 59m · 59% on time, 3.6% cancelled
Total trip 4h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (10.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 46mSDF 19:13 to BWI 23:59, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.