tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Cleveland via New York: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 STL → 09:35 LGA
    AA 4669 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 34m · 90% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:42 LGA → 13:30 CLE
    AA 4388 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 49m · 82% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 82 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 31mSTL 06:00 to CLE 13:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.