tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbia → Washington via New York: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:01 CAE → 08:00 LGA
    AA 4670 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 59m · 86% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:03 LGA → 10:32 DCA
    AA 4393 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 29m · 84% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip4h 31mCAE 06:01 to DCA 10:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.