tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Miami via Washington: arrives on time 71%

  1. 09:23 JFK → 10:59 DCA
    AA 4671 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 34m · 67% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 4h 00m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:59 DCA → 17:48 MIA
    AA 2664 · American · 2h 49m · 75% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 195 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 00m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 25mJFK 09:23 to MIA 17:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.