tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 52%

  1. 13:35 DSM → 15:17 ORD
    AA 4676 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 42m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:48 ORD → 21:59 PHL
    AA 2443 · American · 2h 18m · 59% on time, 7.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 166 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (7.3% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 31mDSM 13:35 to PHL 21:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.