tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → St Louis via New York: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:18 CLE → 06:59 LGA
    AA 4677 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 41m · 91% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:55 LGA → 10:45 STL
    WN 523 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 90% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Cleveland). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 27mCLE 05:18 to STL 10:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.